Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.In the exchange market, the national debt rose the most, with "National Debt 2404" rising more than 4%, "National Debt 23", "Special Country 24 03" and "Special Country 24 01" rising nearly 1%.
Solar energy and other new companies have set up photovoltaic power generation equipment business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, China Energy Saving Ledebao Solar Technology (Delingha) Co., Ltd. was established, with Du Hu as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of solar thermal utilization equipment; Lease of photovoltaic power generation equipment; Ecological restoration and ecological protection services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly owned by China Energy Saving Solar Technology Co., Ltd. and Qinghai Laidebao New Materials Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of solar energy.The application direction of AI fell in early trading, with Jincai Internet falling more than 8%, followed by Tianyu Digital, Huayang Lianzhong, Fushi Holdings, Aofei Entertainment and Fengyuzhu.Japan's Topix index fell to 1%.
The financing balance of the two cities increased by 6.856 billion yuan. As of December 12, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 961.758 billion yuan, an increase of 2.592 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 916.865 billion yuan, an increase of 4.264 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,878.623 billion yuan, an increase of 6.856 billion yuan over the previous trading day.Southern Power Grid: In November, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation, with more than 500 MW. Southern Power Grid (003035) said at the institutional investor strategy meeting on December 12 that in 2024, the company will continue to give full play to the advantages of distributed photovoltaic energy-saving track, focusing on key industries with good industry prospects, strong sustainable operation ability and large electricity consumption, and increase development efforts. According to preliminary statistics, from January to November 2024, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation with more than 500 MW.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14